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Cargando... Paper Money Collapse: The Folly of Elastic Money and the Coming Monetary Breakdownpor Detlev S. Schlichter
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"Explore the inevitable collapse of the fiat monetary systemPaper Money Collapse: The Folly of Elastic Money and the Coming Monetary Breakdown, Second Edition challenges the mainstream consensus on money and monetary policy. While it is today generally believed that the transition from 'hard' and inflexible commodity money (such as a gold standard) to entirely flexible and potentially unlimited fiat money under national central banks allows for superior economic stability, Paper Money Collapse shows that the opposite is true. Systems of highly elastic and constantly expanding money are not only unnecessary, even for growing economies, they are always extremely destabilizing. Over time, they must lead to substantial imbalances, including excessive levels of debt and distorted asset prices, that will require ever faster money production to sustain. Ultimately, however, there is no alternative to a complete liquidation of these distortions. Based on insights of many renowned economists and in particular of the Austrian School of Economics, the book explains through rigorous logic and in precise language why our system of flexible fiat money is incompatible with a market economy and therefore unsustainable. Paper money systems have always led to economic disintegration--without exception--throughout history. It will not be different for our system and we may be closer to the endgame than many think.The updated second edition incorporates: A new introduction and an extended outlook section that discusses various "endgames" Responses to criticisms, alternative views, and a critical assessment of 'solutions' Comments on recent policy trends, including attempts to exit the 'easy money' policy mode An evaluation of new crypto-currency Bitcoin Paper Money Collapse: The Folly of Elastic Money, Second Edition clarifies the problem of paper money clearly and eloquently, and proposes multiple routes to a solution"--
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Schlichter uses a valid educational approach of layering. He starts with a simple abstraction and adds more elements. He assumes he's proven his point, but that wasn’t always the case. He follows the standard trajectory of these sorts of books, starting with the history of paper money (from Chinese paper money and later European gold smiths) and the resulting disasters. I really enjoyed his coverage of that section. He rightly points out the consistently tragic history of paper money. I’m not sure if I agree about his reinterpretation of the Great Depression, but it was well presented.
I didn’t enjoy his more abstract economics sections as much. I would have preferred more concrete examples than talking about 150,000 units of ‘p’. How about widgets, at least?
He placed a lot of importance on the time preference of consumers (willingness to spend later instead of now, like marshmallow experiment in psychology, or savers). That seems to be the path to true prosperity. If all people were given 10% more prices would rise 10%. Only in the complete abstract. People aren't arbitrage machines. Most humans would still go off nominal valuations until the changes got large or frequent.
He does make good points like lowering interest rates tend to go to recipients who were marginally unprofitable under the previous rates. Otherwise, they would already have loans. That explains the malinvestments that happen in booms that has to be cleared out in busts. However, in that same section, when talking about money pumping by central banks vs. Holistic savings, he writes: “The lowering of interest rates on the loan market has fooled entrepreneurs into thinking that consumers have decided to consume less and save more.” So he’s telling me that business people are fooled by the actions of the Fed? The reality is quite the opposite. Businesses play along as long as the music lasts.
Like many of the books on this topic, he seems to be a libertarian goldbug. See my none of the above bookshelf for more books on this topic if you want a more in-depth comparison. ( )