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Hugo and Nebula Award Finalist: This tale of an encounter between a probability expert and a psychic is "a treasure" (San Francisco Examiner). Lew Nichols can predict the future. Not see the future, just make predictions based on research and statistics. Nichols is damn good at it, though, and his accuracy makes him a valuable addition to Paul Quinn's political campaign for New York City Mayor and possibly the White House. But, when Nichols meets eccentric millionaire Martin Carvajal, predictions suddenly seem petty and flippant. You see, Carvajal can actually see the future--not trends, not options--a signal line of events stretching out ahead. It's a gift Nichols can learn from this "mentor," but at what price? Will knowing the future make the present meaningless?… (más)
Lew Nichols se dedica a formular predicciones estocásticas, una mezcla de análisis sumamente perfeccionado y de conjeturas basadas en informaciones sólidas. Estas predicciones son el enfoque más aproximado a la predicción del futuro que el ser humano es capaz de realizar a finales del siglo XX. En manos de Nichols, constituyen un instrumento de asombrosa exactitud, y su notable capacidad le gana un importante puesto en el equipo de Paul Quinn, el ambicioso y carismático alcalde de la prácticamente ingobernable ciudad de Nueva York, cuyas ambiciones se cifran en alcanzar la presidencia de Estados Unidos en 2004.
Información procedente del conocimiento común inglés.Edita para encontrar en tu idioma.
It is remarkable that a science which began with the consideration of games of chance should have become the most important object of human knowledge...The most important questions of life are, for the most part, really only problems of probability. - Laplace, Theorie Analytique des Probabilites
Once a man learns to see he finds himself alone in the world with nothing but folly. - Castaneda, A Separate Reality
Dedicatoria
Primeras palabras
Información procedente del conocimiento común inglés.Edita para encontrar en tu idioma.
We are born by accident into a purely random universe.
Citas
Información procedente del conocimiento común inglés.Edita para encontrar en tu idioma.
The future isn’t the inaccessible, intangible realm it’s thought to be. But so few admit its existence except as an abstract concept. So few let its messages reach them! . . . The future isn’t a verbal construct. It’s a place with an existence of its own. Right now, as we sit here, we are also there, there plus one, there plus two, there plus n—an infinity of theres, all of them at once, both previous to and later than our current position along our time line. Those other positions are neither more nor less ‘real’ than this one. They’re merely in a place that happens not to be the place where the seat of our current perceptions is currently located. [But occasionally our perceptions] cross over, . . . Wander into other segments of the time line. Pick up events or moods or scraps of conversations that don’t belong to ‘now.’ (pp. 117)
Últimas palabras
Información procedente del conocimiento común inglés.Edita para encontrar en tu idioma.
Hugo and Nebula Award Finalist: This tale of an encounter between a probability expert and a psychic is "a treasure" (San Francisco Examiner). Lew Nichols can predict the future. Not see the future, just make predictions based on research and statistics. Nichols is damn good at it, though, and his accuracy makes him a valuable addition to Paul Quinn's political campaign for New York City Mayor and possibly the White House. But, when Nichols meets eccentric millionaire Martin Carvajal, predictions suddenly seem petty and flippant. You see, Carvajal can actually see the future--not trends, not options--a signal line of events stretching out ahead. It's a gift Nichols can learn from this "mentor," but at what price? Will knowing the future make the present meaningless?