Philip E. Tetlock
Autor de Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Sobre El Autor
Philip E. Tetlock is the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania. His books include Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction and Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics (Princeton).
Obras de Philip E. Tetlock
Obras relacionadas
Taking Sides: Clashing Views in Social Psychology (2006) — Contribuidor, algunas ediciones — 19 copias
Psychological Science Under Scrutiny: Recent Challenges and Proposed Remedies (2017) — Contribuidor — 7 copias
Etiquetado
Conocimiento común
- Nombre canónico
- Tetlock, Philip E.
- Nombre legal
- Tetlock, Philip Eyrikson
- Fecha de nacimiento
- 1954-03-02
- Género
- male
- Nacionalidad
- USA
Canada (birth) - Lugar de nacimiento
- Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Educación
- University of British Columbia (BA | 1975 | MA | 1976)
Yale University (PhD | Psychology | 1979) - Ocupaciones
- psychologist
professor - Relaciones
- Sniderman, Paul M. (co-editor)
Brody, Richard A. (co-editor) - Organizaciones
- University of California, Berkeley
Ohio State University
Haas School of Business - Premios y honores
- Grawemeyer Award (2008)
Woodrow Wilson Book Award (1992 | 2005)
Robert E. Lane Award (2005)
National Academy of Sciences Award for Behavioral Research Relevant to the Prevention of War (1999)
Nevitt Sanford Award (1997)
American Association for the Advancement of Science Prize for Behavioral Science Research (1988) (mostrar todos 10)
Erik H. Erikson Award (1987)
Distinguished Scientific Award for Early Career Contribution to Social Psychology (1986)
Governor-General's Gold Medal (1975)
British Columbia Psychological Association Gold Medal (1975)
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Estadísticas
- Obras
- 7
- También por
- 2
- Miembros
- 1,390
- Popularidad
- #18,498
- Valoración
- 4.0
- Reseñas
- 42
- ISBNs
- 42
- Idiomas
- 7
A much more important ans very interesting final few chapters on the broader space of trying to predict events in the future, probability distributions, and complexity. The question about the limits of forecasting is commendable and perhaps one of the most important points of the book. We can talk about knowledge and prediction within a certain timeframe but beyond that it is a completely different situation and the game changes and its impossible to really
look ahead that far.… (más)